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2 edition of Three attempts at inflation forecasting in Pakistan found in the catalog.

Three attempts at inflation forecasting in Pakistan

Madhavi Bokil

Three attempts at inflation forecasting in Pakistan

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  • 30 Currently reading

Published by International Monetary Fund, Middle East and Central Asia Dept. in [Washington, D.C.] .
Written in English

    Subjects:
  • Inflation (Finance) -- Pakistan.,
  • Economic forecasting -- Pakistan.

  • Edition Notes

    Statementprepared by Madhavi Bokil and Axel Schimmelpfennig.
    SeriesIMF working paper -- WP/05/105
    ContributionsSchimmelpfennig, Axel., International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
    The Physical Object
    Pagination37 p. ;
    Number of Pages37
    ID Numbers
    Open LibraryOL19850780M

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Three attempts at inflation forecasting in Pakistan by Madhavi Bokil Download PDF EPUB FB2

This paper presents three empirical approaches to forecasting inflation in Pakistan. The preferred approach is a leading indicators model in which broad money growth and private sector credit growth help forecast inflation.

A univariate approach also yields reasonable forecasts, but seems less suited to capturing turning points. A vector autoregressive (VAR) model illustrates how monetary. Get this from a library. Three attempts at inflation forecasting in Pakistan.

[Madhavi Bokil; Axel Schimmelpfennig; International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Department,] -- This paper presents three empirical approaches to forecasting inflation in Pakistan. The preferred approach is a leading indicators model in which broad money growth and private sector credit growth.

Downloadable. This paper presents three empirical approaches to forecasting inflation in Pakistan. The preferred approach is a leading indicators model in which broad money growth and private sector credit growth help forecast inflation. A univariate approach also yields reasonable forecasts, but seems less suited to capturing turning points.

A vector autoregressive (VAR) model illustrates how. This paper presents three empirical approaches to forecasting inflation in Pakistan. The preferred approach is a leading indicators model in which broad money growth and private sector credit. If we look at the results in rows (ii) to (xvii) of tables 2(a) to 2(c) we note the following.

In most of the states and for majority of the inflation forecasting horizons simple average of forecasts works best for forecasting inflation in Pakistan except for high inflation state.

Description: This paper presents three empirical approaches to forecasting inflation in Pakistan. The preferred approach is a leading indicators model in which broad money growth and private sector credit growth help forecast inflation.

A univariate approach also yields reasonable forecasts, but seems less suited to capturing turning points. 9 Which should, in any way, not be considere d as inflation forecasting models of the State Bank of Pakistan. 10 See Table 1 (b) of Appendix for the l evels of low, medium and high inflatio n in.

Bilquees (), “Inflation in Pakistan: Empirical Evidence on the Monetarist and Structuralist Hypothesis”, PDR, 2. Bokil. M and Schimmelpfennig. A (), “Three Attempts at Inflation Forecasting in Pakistan”, The Pakistan Development Review, 45, 3, Bukhari, S.

Fiscal deficit and inflation: New evidences from Pakistan using a bounds testing approach The main sources of the data are the Economic Survey of Pakistan (various issues) and Hand Book of Statistics ().

Bokil, A. SchimmmelpfenningThree attempts at inflation forecasting in Pakistan. Pak. Dev. Rev., 45 (), pp. Cited by:   Operations Management () TYPES OF FORECASTING There are three major types of forecasting, regardless of time horizon, that are used by organizations.

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We adopted Autoregressive-Distributed Lag (ARDL) for a co-integration approach to the data analysis and used time series data from to We used GDP as the dependent variable; the Financial Development index (FDI) and misery index as the explanatory variables; and Cited by: 1.

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The economy of Pakistan is going through a period of low growth and high inflation. During the last three yearsthe GDP growth rate has averaged at 3 percent and the rate of inflation at percent. The consequences have been increasing unemployment and rapidly rising poverty.

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